NFL Conference Championships, Super Bowl Odds and Trends

The first of two conference championships is held with four teams still in the hunt to win the Lombardi Trophy; In the AFC, it’s the Cincinnati Bengals against the Kansas City Chiefs, while in the NFC Championship, the Philadelphia Eagles will play host to the San Francisco 49ers.

Here are the opening lines and nuggets for the Conference Finals and for Super Bowl LVII.


Super Bowl odds

Philadelphia Eagles +260
Heads of Kansas City +260
Cincinnati Bengal +275
San Francisco 49ers +275

NFC Championship

San Francisco 49ers at Philadelphia Eagles (-1.5, 45.5, open PHI -2.0)

Sunday, 3:30 p.m. ET, Lincoln Financial Field, Philadelphia, Penn.

Nuggets betting:

  • Five consecutive playoff games in Philadelphia have fallen below the total.

  • Kyle Shanahan is 7-1 ATS in his postseason career.

  • San Francisco has won 12 games in a row, going 10-2 ATS in that stretch.

  • Favorites are 3-7 ATS in the last 10 conference championships (5-5 outright).

trends:

  • The 49ers have won 12 straight games, the 5th longest streak entering a Conference Championship game in the Super Bowl era.

  • Three of the previous 4 teams that entered the conference title game on a 12+ game winning streak won (the only loser was Pittsburgh in 2004).


AFC Championship

Cincinnati Bengals at Kansas City Chiefs (-1, 47.5 open KC -2.5)

Sunday, 6:30 p.m. ET, GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium, Kansas City, Missouri

Nuggets betting:

  • If Kansas City remains the favorite, the team and Patrick Mahomes will extend their Super Bowl-era records of consecutive favorite playoff games.

  • It will be 15 straight for KC and 13 straight for Mahomes. If Kansas City advances to the title game and is again favored, that would give Mahomes a postseason streak twice the length of any other QB to begin their Super Bowl-era careers.

  • Joe Burrow has covered nine games in a row as an underdog, including 5-0 ATS as a playoff underdog.

trends:

  • Seventh rematch of last season’s conference champion

  • Kansas City: host of conference champions for fifth consecutive year (longest streak in NFL history)

  • Joe Burrow: 3-0 vs. Patrick Mahomes, including playoffs (only QB beat him three straight, trying to pass Brady for most overall wins vs. Mahomes)

  • Cincinnati: Trying to become the second team to beat the same opponent on the road in two consecutive postseasons (Washington, 1986-87, won both years in Chicago)

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